The "Mostly Peaceful Summer of 2020" or MPS20 should be our new benchmark.
I kind of think the violence score should be based on the number of deaths and the number of people sent to the ER, not on amount of property damage.
Again, the VCDL Lobby Day was in 2020.
Of course these protests weren’t as violent as ‘20, there isn’t a Republican in the White House to get rid of.
I’ve seen some nutty radicals on SM complaining about how the organizers for the Dobbs decision demonstrations were stressing to keep them peaceful.
The orders have obviously been given. Democrat politicians are pigs in sh*t right now with all the donations rolling in.
So according to your methodology, if you get a campaign of say 1,000 demonstrations involving each 1 million protestors who are all 100% peaceful (no deaths, no arrests, no damage), that's "worse" than a single protest where 3,000 people are killed. Bizarre.
I like this numerical analysis of the protests, but the inclusion of the January 6th Insurrection sheds light on where it falls short. I don't think anyone considers the human and monetary damage by the January 6th rioters to be anywhere near the conglomeration of Floyd protests, but the direct attack on the seat of one branch of the federal government (with tacit and possibly outright support by another branch) is where the true impact lies...and will have lasting domestic and international repercussions for generations. I think that's what Kamala Harris was referring to...a quasi-military attack on a powerful societal institution, not generalized burning, maiming, and looting. How do you quantify that?
It would be really interesting to see where the 'headscarf' protests going on it Iran right now would land on the Floyd scale. Are they a nothing-burger or something major?
Best fit graph this and it looks like a power law distribution. Probably a standard Pareto.
I don't think the number of demonstrations should be included as a measure of violence. Having many demonstrations tells you nothing of the violence of those demonstrations. I think the same applies to the number of protestors. Perhaps I have misunderstood, but it seems in the calculation a larger number of either protestors or demonstrations would give you a larger MPS20 score which I think is misleading. What makes sense is the ratio of protestors or demonstrations to violence i.e. millions of protestors with relatively small property damage is better than thousands of protestors with similar property damage.