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Feb 23, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

The upside to all this is that I don't have to hate on my Red or Blue tribes thought process as much, knowing they are just captured by the egregore. The difficulty lies in helping people find a way out.

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^this

"Oh you're just an egregore talking" is a very easy way to simply stop having the argument, since you can't argue against the entire egregore at once.

I attempted to snap my little brother out of his egregorical capture very late one night around Christmas, it was 40 minutes long, I got him to admit the behavior had nothing to do with reason by the end, but I'm sure he forgot the whole thing the next day because he must by necessity slot back into his peer group after the discussion.

I don't have any solutions here. Buy bullets I guess.

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I was a lot happier when I thought qntm was writing fiction. I have to say that it's not particularly pleasant when I can't tell if something is the plot to a science-horror fiction novel or actual reality.

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Stop resisting, IT'S BLISS...

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Feb 23, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

This idea of an egregore is an interesting one, but mob rule is as old as the mob. It is true that whenever a physical object, informational structure or other organization occurs, there are unexpected complexities that arise because of it. My biophysics professor said "knowing all the laws of physics and chemistry, you would never expect the clouds" and suggested that there should be a "fourth law of thermodynamics" which was basically the concept of emergence. I appreciate your contribution to understanding this new era we are in.

I have another way of thinking about it. It seems to me that there are competing artificial intelligences that are composed of a huge collection of algorithms, computers and programmers, each competing for money, but also power, status and influence. The ones that harness these best to gain attention are clearly the ones that are dominant. This is partially an aspect of the goals of the humans building them, but also an aspect of the emergent phenomena that we are unveiling by being so relentlessly connected to each other.

I think Philip K. Dick was a prophet of our coming era in many ways:

"Fake realities will create fake humans. Or, fake humans will generate fake realities and then sell them to other humans, turning them, eventually, into forgeries of themselves. So we wind up with fake humans inventing fake realities and then peddling them to other fake humans."

So my understanding is that you are talking about this. It is an interesting idea. I believe that Jack Dorsey, Mark Zuckerberg and to a lesser degree Larry Page and Sergey Brin have some control over the entities they posses. I appreciate your contributions here.

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The HWFO formulation of an egregore is deeply tied to AI principles applied to social networks.

https://hwfo.substack.com/p/memespace-egregores-and-google-maps?utm_source=url

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Feb 24, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

"a vast, pseudoreligious indoctrination program..."

i've been calling it either The Daily Dogma or The New God but I think your egregore is even better.

you, sir, are a master zeitgeistologist!

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Jun 18, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

I dunno man, "The Daily Dogma" has a lot going for it in terms of, well, shit. Egregore catchphrase "radio jingle" catchiness.

I'm glad I'm learning about this but holy fuck it's also kind of terrifying.

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Feb 24, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

Like Laramie below/above I think this proof in each side thinking the other is gaslit doesn't quite sell the idea to me. I'm not sure what proof would even look like, but maybe we don't need proof.

I think that a lot of ideas work or do not work. I don't need egregores to literally exist but they are exactly the kind of emergent meme entities I have seen on Reddit and close polyamory and scenes for 5-8 years. To me egregores are a morality tale; not factual but offering artistic truth.

As for proof, it will take distance in time to see if society can be better described with egregores versus centralized conspiracies. But, if the tool helps us navigate the landscape, it is a useful tool. I haven't seen anyone else bring this idea about except in the simplistic, pejorative "Reddit hive mind" idea. I'm glad I found your blog via Rebel Wisdom

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Feb 24, 2022·edited Feb 24, 2022Author

I agree with both you and Laramie. It's a bad proof, because there could be more than one reason for both sides to think the other is gaslit. It's more like 'evidence' than 'proof.'

I'd like to put together a list of things we'd expect to see in an egregore captured world, purely hypothetically, and then see if we can identify them in the landscape now. Cancel culture is an obvious symptom, because that's one of the egregore's primary weapons.

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Feb 24, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

One of the things I see most often is people switching their opinions rapidly based on what they are told. People need to accept Received Wisdom of the Egregore with little questioning in order to become part of it. Perhaps this could be detected by switching between logically inconcistent positions on the same topic. I can think of Covid Thesis examples of this (e.g. X intervention is racist -> Leader does X), but not so much on the Antithesis side because I don't track those ideas as closely.

That pattern should probably be separated from people who are updating a mental model of the world with new information. Changing your position is good with new information.

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There's definitely that sort of behavior on Antithesis as well, often because Antithesis acts as a pure mirror of Thesis. The easiest examples are the most conspiracy-ish, but one that comes to mind is simultaneously holding "Blame China for this AWFUL disease!" and "This disease isn't awful!" in their minds.

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>The media business model to drive traffic is more powerful in this smartphone space than governments are, or intelligence agencies, or any centralized cabal.

This is a major assumption. You need evidence for it. It seems to me that most things can be packaged for public consumption and that the media doesn't necessarily just let the most dopamine inducing idea win out. Wokeism is basically an ugly ideology that only appeals to hedonistic minorities, for instance. Click bait and naive dopamine-centered memetics can't explain its success. Wokeism does not exist because it "gets the most clicks."

>Bureaucracy is the actual government, not the elected officials, and the officials have almost no control over what the government does.

Managerialism is naive and has one massive problem: DMV workers have low capability (and agency). Real power rests on these traits. People low in this traits may receive delegated power, but they're like an appendage of the brain, and will be cut off for any disobedience. In other words, midwit paper pushers are externally disciplined by 130 plus IQ actual-power holders who have the ability to, for instance, allocate themselves unending economic units. If you supposedly have power, but you're poor, maybe your power isn't actually power. It's surely not worth as much as money. Maybe you're renting somebody else's power and they limit your use of it.

>In Nawaz’s formulation, a conspiratorial cabal influences government, the government influences both policy and the media, and then policy and the media influences individual behavior (such as masks). This is wrong, because the low and mid-level clock punchers are not beholden to the cabal. They are beholden to their smartphones.

The cabal decides what's on their phones, and if they disobey the cabal they're fired. So they are beholden to the cabal, i.e. the oligarchy of high capacity, high agency individuals who have allotted themselves massive ownership of economic resources.

This is how it works: https://i.imgur.com/48GNX7L.png

>We may think that because it’s a couple of guys in a basement, it qualifies as a conspiracy, but it’s not, because they can’t actually control what they’re writing.

Well sure, because they have no carrot and stick. On the other hand, capable people can punish and reward, and that's what wokeism is. Woke? Rewarded. Not woke? Punished.

>Does the Pope control Christianity? No. Christianity controls the Pope.

You should read a history of the Church and the Pope and keep in mind the carrot and stick thing. Maybe now the tail wags the dog. Not so in 1200 AD.

What you're doing is assuming that there is no ruling class and going from there. If there is no ruling class, then your idea makes sense.

The culture function looks something like this: C = f( P = {G, E, M}, w) where P are phenotypes, G is the gene pool, E is material factors, M is memetics/information, and w are the weights. When you have a ruling class, you weight a few phenotypes way more than others. If you just assume there is no ruling class, you don't need any weight information so you get f(P={G,E,M}). Then if you're liberal and you find it quite racist to suggest culture might be a function of genes you get f(P={E,M}). And if you're on a short time horizon where you hold E constant between your imagined alternative culture outputs you get C = f(M). Then you just ignore that M could also be a function of those other things because, well, those other things are assumed to be constant so obviously there's some real substance in M that is changing just because.

So then you write a post that boils down to C = f(M) but instead of evidence you just have your obviously-rational and polite assumption that w_i = 1 for every w_i in w, g_i ~= g_i+1 for every g_i in G, and your better assumption that E is constant between imagined potential C's. So C = f(M).

But then there's no point to this post because the question is begged. You need to prove your assumptions about G and w.

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> Wokeism is basically an ugly ideology that only appeals to hedonistic minorities, for instance. Click bait and naive dopamine-centered memetics can't explain its success. Wokeism does not exist because it "gets the most clicks."

Wokeism absolutely exists because it gets the most clicks. They stole the most viral things about Calvinism and mapped them over to Crenshaw analysis. The entire woke paradigm is piggybacked off of the Sermon on the Mount, which I presume you would agree had some very viral stuff in it. Wokeism is "the meek shall inherit the earth, by force, and here's a matrix to determine how meek you are."

> The cabal decides what's on their phones, and if they disobey the cabal they're fired. So they are beholden to the cabal, i.e. the oligarchy of high capacity, high agency individuals who have allotted themselves massive ownership of economic resources.

The profit incentive decides what's on their phones, and if any cabal is in charge of mitigating that profit incentive it's not centralized. It's ideological, and flows from ... their phones. The reason the NYT editorial board is Woke is not because a secret dungeon of Woke Masters issues them behavioral instructions, it's because their feeds are issuing them behavioral instructions. Same goes for the scientists who were afraid to point out the virus leaked from a lab due to racism. They're receiving instructions all right, but not from a cabal. They're receiving them from the Occupy Democrats Facebook page, who's only goal is to post things that go viral.

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Oh and since I forgot to say this in the post, thank you so much for the well thought out response.

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Feb 24, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

Very interesting, thanks for sharing. I'm curious how you would delineate the boundary between egregores and ideology. The conflict in Ukraine is a fresh example on many people's minds, including mine. I've noticed that a number of commentators converging on the idea that the conflict is between civic democracy and authoritarianism. The labels are almost interchangeable depending on which side of the argument one is making. Inevitably, everyone accuses their opponent of being deceived by propaganda from the other side.

But there are also long antecedents to the conflict between authoritarianism and democracy, just consider the entire history of the 20th century. So it seems like people are fitting their descriptions of the Ukraine crisis into ideologies from the 20th century and even earlier. Does this mean that an egegore is at work? Are these ideologies examples of earlier egregores that are just reproducing in our current social media environment? Or are egegores a novel combination of algorithms, social media, and political economy? I'm intrigued enough by the egegore concept to wonder how far one can push it beyond the recent cases you've described.

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Ideology updates on the time scale of decades or centuries and the update method is primarily a "test and check" system. So the pyramid builder ideology burns out because the Abrahamic ideology rubs it out via cultural Darwinism. Egregores are updating themselves in months or days and are propagating these updates out on the internet via cell phone addiction and memetic virility, have no real Darwinistic test, and become dominant purely based on how quickly they can spread. Their propagation looks like a brainwave, and those captured behave like brain cells behave. Yes it's an ideology but it's a malleable one with purchase in a new substrate.

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Feb 24, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

"The groupthink entities comprised by social network echo chambers control the media they consume, which controls their version of the world, which then controls everyone’s behavior captured by them. Can I prove this? Yes. If this were true, each side of the Covid debate would think the other side is gaslit."

Hmmmm. I think this is too cute by half. Proves too much. One side is right. Perhaps not on every issue, of course, but on some number of issues within their respective baskets of issues. Whether they think the other side is gaslit doesn't really prove anything.

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Both sides are somewhat right, if we're talking Covid. I mean Malone literally said on Rogan you can't get reinfected, and that's blatantly false.

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Feb 24, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

McCullough said that on JRE not Malone and McCullough's point was a little more nuanced than that. Basically he was saying that prior to omicron there wasn't a single instance in the literature of reinfection where both cases of infection had gold standard verification. That was an interesting point because there should have been at least some health care workers with two gold standard infection verifications.

In general, though, I agree with you that given their obviously superb analytical skills, guys like Malone, McCullough, Berenson, etc seem to get out in front of their skis way more than you'd expect probably because they're being driven there by the expectations of their less than completely rational audience.

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Mar 5, 2022·edited Mar 5, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

Did we ever imagine that the noosphere would coalesce without casting a shadow?

Take the dreams of every mind, some nightmares, some lucid.

Now make a big pot of soup with them.

As the cauldron simmers, the dark and grave dreams sink,

then hit the searing iron basin and scream to the surface,

for all to witness in shrieking terror with daisies in their eyes.

Good soup takes time.

The bigger the pot, the longer the stew.

How might we enjoy becoming delicious

as our human beings are consumed by a global consciousness?

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Feb 25, 2022·edited Feb 25, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

I don’t fully buy into the egregore idea. Absolutely there are a lot of NPCs just following their programming, but someone is at least influencing what that programming is. It’s not a coincidence that much Leftist programming is the same as the USSR’s subversion programs (see: Yuri Bezmenov) and/or Gramscian theory. Or a coincidence that the programming just happens to work great for tyrants. If it was random, it would weave back and forth rather than always heading towards the same goal of control. Where is the libertarian egregore, with masses of people shouting “are you detaining me?!”

Another point is that media often makes decisions that are against their bottom line, but in line with their beliefs. They aren't pandering to people, they are pushing their ideas on people. And those ideas can mostly be traced back to particular sources.

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Well Qanon is obviously an egregore, and in some ways it's one without much ideological root.

If someone with a USSR mindset were influencing the Woke egregore, why would they make such silly choices for its indoctrination set, such as LatinX? Or the Krenshaw matrix? Died in the wool Marxists hate Wokeism more than any other opposing ideology because it basically hides and wallpapers the proletariat struggle.

I don't think it's random, but it's obviously weaving back and forth. Check your watch to see how many genders there are this year. Or in the case of the Covid egregore, how many masks you're supposed to wear.

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The USSR didn't subvert to turn the US into the USSR, but to turn it into a weakling that could easily be conquered by the USSR. KGB defector Bezmenov was part of that program, there are a lot of videos of him talking about the goals and methods of the program. He defected in the late 60s or early 70s, yet what he talks about is the same crap that is sprouting today.

https://img.search.brave.com/nsowHkX4nyfn7gVHtJL9eRZyc31SQyCOp_4ZckvGHdU/rs:fit:643:388:1/g:ce/aHR0cHM6Ly9pLmlt/Z2ZsaXAuY29tLzRh/N2loZi5qcGc

https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-k23p_GZh64M/TZU8lz1V8GI/AAAAAAAAAYk/HMKwN6vwnwc/s1600/subversion+process.jpg

The 'crisis' stage is what they've been pushing for, when people cry out for government solutions, and then the government gives it to them, good and hard. 'Normalization' is when they exterminate all the useful idiots from 'subversion' and 'demoralization', including all the Woketards, furries, troublesome minorities, etc. Stage 4 is Stalin, basically.

http://esr.ibiblio.org/?p=260

I doubt the people behind things today are actual marxists or communists, especially since those things were never goals in themselves, but rather tactics to achieve the goal of power. Some group or groups has simply taken over the work done to subvert the West and turn it to their own ends.

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Feb 24, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

Once again I truly appreciate your framework of looking at these things through the lens of an egregore. It's certainly a lot more accurate then attributing human activities to a conspiracy. It does perhaps fall apart a bit in the situation where specific people have an outsized influence: what would happen to QAnon if the bearded men in the basement died, or quit? What would Trumpism be without Trump? Or the Reformation without Martin Luther? There is a feedback loop in which individuals radically change egregores or create new ones.

A quick word of caution with your ending plea to #resist. That ethos is itself an egregore, or perhaps the summation of all "antithesis" egregores. To resist the influence of egregores requires independent sensemaking (I suppose), which is not the same as "resisting".

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If the guys who write Q quit, someone else would start writing Q, and since it's anonymous nobody would know within the Q bubble. Q is immortal.

#resist was the closer for a reason ;)

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The last person who was posting as Q, Ron Watkins, stopped posting on December 8th 2020, when it became clear that Trump would not be president in the near future, and that the future FBI and DOJ would be very interested in knowing who was responsible for the movement that resulted in the January 6th capitol storming.

No-one picked up the torch after him, because the risk is just too great. Instead, all the grifters figured out other ways of influencing the movement and fleecing the members for money, but many of the main characters are quite busy defending themselves against massive lawsuits, so that put a damper on the thing as well. Either way, "Q" most definitely quit. The only way someone would dare pick it up again would be if Trump was elected president again.

Q-anon has sort-of kinda forgotten Q because he stopped posting, and with Biden as president for more than a year now, they've moved on to general alt-right lists of grievances. The Russian invasion of Ukraine fired them up again though, because Putin, clearly, is a Good Guy who only invaded Ukraine to secure evidence of the horrible Hunter Biden corruption scandal thing, and once that blows open, Biden will be toppled, Trump will be reinstated, Q will come back, and everything will be good again.

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Feb 24, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

You talk about these egregores like they’re a bad thing. Aren’t they what everyone wants to be part of, in this meaning crisis? To be that cog that works and is worked by a communal spirit. It’s the ideal of having our cake and eating it.

We try to keep up with the leading edge of the spirit as it moves. We take a blind gambit on the spirit moving towards truth. Where people all sweep forward in the same direction, unobstructed, that must be more true. That’s a sign of power.

I’m thinking of some of the dissident right channels I listen to that unearth the disgarded political philosophers of 100+ years ago. But any online or offline cluster would do. We want to be possessed. We want to dig up treasure.

For myself I quite like getting lost, either by using the old atlas and ending up down a country lane, or being faced with ideas that don’t tie up neatly or let you march in a phalanx.

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The egregores do not have our best interests at heart. Their only motivation is to spread themselves, not to better us.

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Feb 24, 2022Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

I only heard this word 5 seconds ago (via PvK) so I'm catching up, and then taking over..

You seem to have an AI model going on here, like there's an optimisation algorithm at work generating the most-stimulating version of the meme complex, for this particular network of participants. And 'stimulation' is just what is is, and how a network node got its particular sensitivities is ineffable, and the contoller node can only push buttons, not make them. They call this 'gradient descent' - a closed system.

But the landscape can have many optimums. An intelligent controller might be able to bump the system, disruipt the stimulus-response feedback, so it descends to an optimum of his own choosing. Maybe by finding latent buttons not currently getting pushed, or a disorientation tactic like inducing panic. Which is a fancy way of saying the WEF could be a real masterbrain external to the normal political system.

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I think what you're talking about - egregore manipulation - is theoretically possible, but I don't think anyone has enough analysis tools to do it properly. Russian twitter bot farms are obviously an attempt at this concept, but in order to make it work properly you'd have to be able to know, I mean truly SEE, what the egregore's thoughts looked like. I postulate (admittedly without good proof) that's impossible because it's a next level entity.

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The graphic above with different text explains Climate Alarmism Skepticism as well.

To the point where I'm sorry, but I have reached the point where if someone *isn't* skeptical of the claims of the Climate Alarmists, I consider them credulous morons who are incapable of looking past their next meal. And potentially not even that far.

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Fascinating, but I have two questions in regards to:

"The groupthink entities comprised by social network echo chambers control the media they consume, which controls their version of the world, which then controls everyone’s behavior captured by them. Can I prove this? Yes. If this were true, each side of the Covid debate would think the other side is gaslit.”

1. Can you expand more on what it means to think the other side is gaslit? Does that just mean believing that the people on the other side have been fed and have accepted a false picture of reality?

2. Why would both sides thinking this about each other prove the groupthink entity hypothesis? Seems it could just as easily argue for a top-down conspiracy model.

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"Does the Pope control Christianity? No. Christianity controls the Pope. But Christianity changes very slowly and is not beholden to a daily freakoutery click count to maintain its revenue."

Catholicism, not Christianity. And there's a significant reason that the Pope's ability to change Catholicism is limited, and that reason is not an egregore. That reason is DOCTRINE. Catholicism actually has some. It has codified principles. Codified principles are another variable in this conversation - a third option besides egregore and dictator.

And they're the best option. Prosperous, enduring movements have constitutions. Creeds. Principles whose malleability is limited by written covenant.

The world is complex. Most movements actually have a combination of creed, dictator, and egregore guiding them, and it is very much worth talking about the relative potency of the three in a given movement. But it is also worth noting that one of the three influences is quite a bit less prone to fits of toxic emotional incontinence than the others.

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