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May 17, 2023Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

Basic game theory principles are so useful, tit for tat will iterate infinitely unless one side decides to take the immediate hit and be a first mover to opt out (in return for the LR benefit of not wasting resources on the game aka don’t fall prey to the sunk cost fallacy), the prisoner’s dilemma highlights how our fears/fixed beliefs incentivize us to choose suboptimal choices/not trust/listen to the devil on our shoulder... it was game theory that did the most in terms of educational payoff for me

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May 17, 2023Liked by Handwaving Freakoutery

Dear HWFO,

My hands are waving and I’m freaking out after seeing the accusation of Peter Boghossian (or me, as his Director of Content) stealing your material!

You published an article about crime and absent fathers on April 20, 2023, while we released a video on the same topic on May 2, 2023. The thing is, our video (featuring Matt Thornton) was recorded months ago ahead of the release of his book, “The Gift of Violence.” Matt’s book was released on April 11, 2023 and addresses the exact same topic. Peter produced the video and wrote the afterward to the finished manuscript last year.

Back in November 2022, Matt was a guest on our “All Things Re-Considered” series (about the collapse of NPR’s journalistic integrity) and spoke about these issues. Check it out: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wb-ApHyd01I&t=3742s

Now, I wouldn’t dream of accusing you of stealing content from our channel (or from Matt’s book). I’d chalk it up to “great minds think alike” (plus “anyone with a brain can see what the media is doing”).

Regarding your request to be a guest with us, that’s an absolute possibility! While Peter is traveling over the next several weeks, I’ll see if he’d like to have a conversation later this summer.

Regarding the beer: Yes, please! What coast are you near?

Sincerely,

Gina

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Regarding the 2 middle classes, I categorise them as the thinking-doing class and the bullshitting class.

The thinking-doing class are about manipulating external reality and its usually obvious when they get things wrong, e.g. if you build a bridge and it falls down, or write a program and it doesn't compile.

The bullshitting class, OTOH, are about manipulating consensus reality. Quintessential bullshitting class fields are marketing, politics, religion, law. It's not as co-incidence that wokism is strongest within the bullshitting class.

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I’m no fan of academic papers for exactly this reason. The Manhattan institute flatly states “Furthermore, crime is concentrated in these densely populated counties.[5]” whoa, do they know crime rates, not totals but rates, were higher in densely populated areas? That is not my understanding so I get a bit surprised. Well hell, it’s got a little number next to it, must be sourced to something. Nope, I checked the endnote, it just defined the county sizes in its sample. So what we see is a bold claim with a little number next to it, textbook sourcing, but then no mention of the claim in the endnote at all. And that’s after you click through to the PDF because endnotes are not included in the HTML they ran out of space on their website, I imagine.

As charitable as I can think, they felt the need to drop an unexplained tautology in their paper, no rate claims just base “bigger = bigger” and then innocently wanted to cite something else in their one claim sentence. But now I’ve got it in my head that you’re intentionally gaming endnotes and then hiding them so you can appear to be sourcing your claims. Who the fuck knows what the graphs say, I couldn’t even get through the intro without being lied to.

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Long COVID is the Stone Soup of diseases.

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May 17, 2023·edited May 17, 2023

Between being psychosomatic, being caused by mask-induced CO2 poisoning, being induced by the skyrocketing abuse of other drugs, and being faked for ever more lucrative disability benefits, I suspect that the percentage of "long COVID" cases that are not caused by COVID-19 starts with a nine.

Perhaps more than one nine.

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For media/NYT deep dive, I recommend Batya Ungar-Sargon’s book!

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I saw a theory recently that most of -- if not all -- "Long Covid" is actually vaccine injuries from the Jab itself.

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